Keynote
Spin-Off
Fund

ISINLU1920073480
Last Update

High-Quality Spin-Off Situations

Future Fundstars Sieger Staffel 5

Fund Portrait

The investment focus is on divestments of one or more business units from existing corporate structures through the creation of an independent company or the separation of an existing subsidiary.

In such cases, shares in the newly created or separated entity are typically distributed free of charge to shareholders of the parent company and subsequently listed on a stock exchange (spin-offs). Variations of such transactions include split-offs (shares of the subsidiary are exchanged for a defined number of shares in the parent company), equity carve-outs (the parent company sells a stake in the subsidiary via a partial IPO), and Reverse Morris Trusts (a business unit or other assets are spun off into a separate entity and subsequently merged tax-efficiently with another company). In addition, the fund may also invest in parent companies or in companies where a spin-off has been announced (pre-spin).

The focus on core operations typically leads to operational improvements and a re-rating. Through the separation, markets are better able to assess the underlying value of both the parent company and the spin-off entity. Companies are selected based on fundamental analysis. Prior to inclusion in the fund portfolio, each company is assessed using the Keynote checklist, applying both qualitative and quantitative criteria (Keynote four-filter approach).

The strict criteria limit the number of potential investment candidates. As a result, only the best 20 to 25 companies are included in the fund’s unique portfolio.

Portfolio

Allocation

Fund Structure by Asset Classes:

Equities
97.3%
Cash
2.8%
Dividend Claims
-0.1%

Equity Segments

  • 67.6%Spin-Offs
  • 32.4%Parents
  • 0%Pre-Spins
Last Update
Sectors
  • Industrials27.1%
  • Information Technology15.8%
  • Others12.3%
  • Materials11.5%
  • Health Care8.8%
  • Financials7.4%
  • Consumer Staples5.5%
  • Telecommunication Services4.5%
  • Consumer Discretionary4.4%
Countries
  • United States53.7%
  • Switzerland18.2%
  • Canada7.0%
  • Netherlands4.9%
  • Germany4.7%
  • Denmark4.5%
  • Cayman Islands4.4%
Currencies
  • USD64.7%
  • CHF18.3%
  • EUR9.9%
  • CAD7.1%
  • NOK0.0%
  • DKK0.0%
  • SEK0.0%
  • GBP0.0%

Top 5 Holdings

Spin-Off

GE announced in November 2021 that it would split into three independent companies. Following the IPO of GE HealthCare in early 2023, the company completed its breakup in April 2024 with the separation into GE Vernova (energy infrastructure) and GE Aerospace (aircraft engines and defense).

Read investment case

Spin-Off

At the end of January 2024, Swiss cement and building materials group Holcim announced its plans to spin off its North American business under the name Amrize and to list it as an independent company on the stock exchange in mid-2025.

Read investment case

Parent

S&P Global, a leading provider of credit ratings, benchmark indices, and market and commodity analytics, plans to spin off its Mobility division in 2026.

Read investment case

Constellation Software

Parent

Constellation Software is a provider of vertical software (VMS) which acquires and develops business-critical software platforms with high recurring revenues. In 2021 and 2023, Topicus (VMS Europe) and Lumine (Telecommunications and Media) were first time spin-offs as business units.

Read investment case

Accelleron Industries

Spin-Off

The former ABB Turbocharging division was renamed Accelleron and spun off from the ABB Group in 2022. Accelleron is the market leader in high-performance turbochargers, with a 40% market share, and primarily serves the energy and marine sectors.

Read investment case

Portfolio Information

Weight Top 537.48%
Weight Top 1061.35%
Number of Shares20
Market Capitalisation (Weighted Median)14.99 Mrd. USD
Forward P/E*18.9
Forward EV/EBITDA*15.4
Forward P/CF*16.3
Dividend Yield0.83%
Net Debt / EBITDA1.79
*Bloomberg estimates for the next 12 months

Top 3 Contribution

ShareContributionPerformance
TIC Solutions+1.25%+29.82%
SAP +1.01%+22.25%
SharkNinja+0.86%+18.99%

Bottom 3 Contribution

ShareContributionPerformance
Honeywell Aerospace-1.38%-23.52%
Amrize-0.78%-10.03%
Honeywell International-0.61%-11.88%

Performance Since Inception

Monthly Performance (in %)

JanFebMärAprMaiJunJulAugSepOktNovDezJahr
2023······-1.02-1.01-2.74-3.6110.557.058.71
2024-1.216.734.85-1.185.71-2.156.091.171.45-0.873.05-6.9716.93
20254.81-3.48-6.91-0.086.794.376.281.74-2.070.894.595.4423.56
20263.604.70-11.715.54-3.505.63-4.451.19-7.27···-7.62

Performance Ratios

Performance49.93%
Performance p. a.14.45%
Volatility18.70%
Sharpe Ratio0.62
Maximum Drawdown24.66%
Maximum Drawdown Duration4
Recovery Period Duration3
Calmar Ratio0.47
VaR (99 % / 10 days)8.44%

Performance figures are based on 3 year period.

Portfolio Commentary

Die globalen Aktienmärkte setzten im Berichtsmonat ihre Aufwärtstrends fort. Der MSCI World Net Total Return Index legte im August um 2.5% zu. Der Keynote Spin-Off Fund (KSOF) avancierte 1.2% (alle Performanceangaben in USD).

Das laufende Jahr war bisher von einer ausgeprägten Faktor-Volatilität geprägt, wobei risikoreichere Titel mit hohem Beta und Momentum defensive Aktien outperformten. Gleichzeitig entwickeln sich die Unternehmensgewinne robust, was sich aus unserer Sicht auch den Rest des Jahres fortsetzen dürfte. Die starke Performance wachstumsorientierter Titel hat jedoch zu einem hohen Bewertungsniveau an den Gesamtmärkten geführt. Gleichzeitig erzielt rund ein Fünftel der S&P-500-Unternehmen derzeit Gewinne oberhalb eines normalisierten und nachhaltigen Niveaus, insbesondere im Halbleiter- und Tech-Hardware-Sektor, die stark von den KI-Investitionen der Hyperscaler profitieren. Die daraus entstandenen Lieferengpässe und Preissteigerungen dürften sich allerdings nicht zwangsläufig als anhaltend erweisen, da hohe Preise zusätzliche Kapazitäten schaffen und Kunden zur Suche nach Alternativen bewegen. In diesem Marktumfeld bleiben wir unserem bewährten Investmentprozess treu und fokussieren uns auf qualitativ hochwertige Spin-Offs mit attraktivem langfristigem Wertsteigerungspotenzial. Während die Gesamtmärkte für die kommenden fünf Jahre unterdurchschnittliche Renditen erwarten lassen, signalisiert unsere konservative Bottom-Up-Analyse für den Keynote Spin-Off Fund ein Renditepotenzial von 15–20 % p.a. – bei gleichzeitig geringerem Risiko. Grundlage dafür sind die hohe Qualität der Geschäftsmodelle, operative Verbesserungen nach dem Spin-Off und die absolut und im Vergleich zum Gesamtmarkt moderaten Bewertungen unseres Portfolios.

Die grössten positiven Beiträge zur Fondsperformance im August lieferten TIC Solutions (+1.25%), SAP (+1.01%) und SharkNinja (+0.86%). TIC Solutions überzeugte mit den erwarteten operativen Verbesserungen: Bei nur 3.3% Umsatzwachstum stieg das Adjusted EBITDA um 74% und die Marge auf 16.2%. Gleichzeitig erhöhte sich der kombinierte Consulting & Engineering- und Geospatial-Backlog gegenüber dem Vorjahr um 20%. Die steigende Profitabilität und Visibilität der künftigen Umsätze bestätigen unsere Investmentthese. Sollten die vom Management ausgegebenen Ziele erfüllt werden, dürfte die Aktie in drei Jahren zwei bis drei Mal so hoch notieren. Bei SAP nutzten wir im zweiten Quartal die starke Skepsis gegenüber Softwareaktien für den Einstieg. Nach dem Carve-out und Verkauf von Qualtrics ist SAP strategisch fokussierter und mit dem KI-Copiloten Joule gut positioniert. Der Cloud-Auftragsbestand (+26%), Cloud-Umsatz (+24%) und Cloud-ERP-Umsatz (+27%) wachsen dynamisch. Bei einem Forward-KGV von unter 20 und erwarteten EPS-Wachstumsraten von 20–25% p.a. erscheint die Bewertung weiterhin attraktiv, was die Insider-Käufe im Juli und August bestätigen. SharkNinja setzte mit 22.2% Umsatzwachstum erneut ein Ausrufezeichen. Besonders überzeugend sind die breite Wachstumsbasis (keine Abhängigkeit von einem einzelnen Produkt) und das internationale Wachstum von +36.6%. Damit zeigt das Unternehmen, dass sich das erfolgreiche Produkt- und Markenmodell auch ausserhalb der USA skalieren lässt. Seit dem Spin-Off hat sich SharkNinja zu einem eigenständigen, innovationsgetriebenen Consumer-Compounder entwickelt.

Die drei grössten negativen Performancebeiträge kamen im Berichtsmonat von Honeywell Aerospace (-1.38%), Amrize (-0.78%) und Honeywell International (-0.61%). Nachdem sich die Aktien von Honeywell Aerospace und Honeywell International nach dem Spin-Off zunächst erfreulich entwickelten, kam es mit den ersten eigenständigen Quartalsberichten zu einem Reset. Bei Honeywell Aerospace war die Wertschöpfungskette das Kernproblem, denn insbesondere bei mechanischen Komponenten fehlten Teile, wodurch die hohe Nachfrage nicht in entsprechenden Auslieferungen umgesetzt werden konnte. Diese «Panne» bietet damit eine interessante Opportunität, denn die Probleme in der Wertschöpfungskette dürften sich normalisieren. Honeywell Aerospace erwirtschaftet höhere operative Margen als die Peer-Group (2028E: 26% vs. 22%), wird jetzt aber mit einem Discount von knapp 40% zu dieser bewertet (P/FCF 2028E: 15.5 vs. 25.5). Die Zahlen von Honeywell International lagen hingegen im Rahmen der Erwartungen, wurden aber von der allgemeinen Schwäche von Industrieaktien gedämpft. Steigende Zinsen, ein ölpreisbedingter Kostenanstieg und der Abgang des Finanzchefs belasteten die Aktien von Amrize. Der ursprüngliche Investment Case bleibt intakt, aber durch temporäre Faktoren verzögert. Wegen der besonderen Marktstruktur (lokale Märkte mit wenig Anbietern) verfügt Amrize über Preissetzungssmacht, die sich in Kombination mit Volumenwachstum in höheren Margen und steigenden freien Cashflows niederschlagen wird. Die anhaltenden Aktienkäufe des Managements und die attraktive Bewertung – sowohl absolut als auch relativ zur Peergroup – sprechen weiterhin für die Aktie.

Anfang August trennten wir uns von den Restbeständen in Resideo Technologies. Im Gegenzug wurde eine Position in einem neuen Spin-Off aufgebaut. Nach den starken Kurssteigerungen nahmen wir u.a. bei SharkNinja, SAP und The Magnum Ice Cream Company Gewinne mit.  Im Gegenzug wurden die Kursschwächen bei Amrize, Accelleron und Constellation Software genutzt, um die Positionen zu erhöhen.

Fazit: Die Aussichten des Fondsportfolios sind ausgesprochen attraktiv und versprechen ein hohes absolutes, asymmetrisches Renditeprofil in einer benchmarkorientierten Welt.

All data as of (unless otherwise stated)

Key Facts

Fund NameKeynote Spin-Off Fund
Share ClassIK USD
ISINLU1920073480
WKNA2PA99
Fund DomicileLuxembourg
Legal FormOGAW
Fund Launch Date
Fund CurrencyEUR, USD
Fund CategoryEquity fund (UCITS)
Universeinternational
Minimum Equity Quota51%
Cut-Off TimeBusiness days, 16:00 (CET)
Distribution CountriesDE, LU, CH*
*In Switzerland, for professional investors only

P & L and Tax Data

Fund Volume / Share Class29,046,265.51 USD / 15,815,594.34 USD
Net Asset Value145.09 USD
Issue / Redemption Price145.09 USD / 145.09 USD
Aggr. Dividend-Equivalent Earnings0.00 USD
End of Financial Year31/12/2026
Utilization of IncomeAccumulation

Conditions

Effective Issuing Price Surcharge0.00%
Effective Redemption Fee0.00%
Max. Management Fee p.a.1.80%
Max. Advisory Fee p.a.N/A
Max. Custodian's Fee p.a.0.05%
Ongoing Charges / TER1.62%

Investment PhilosophyWe fish where the fish are

Where we invest
Where we invest

Investment ProcessInvestigative research drives our investment process

How we invest
How we invest

Purchase our fund through your financial advisor, bank, or trading platform.

The Keynote - Spin-Off Fund is available through many banks and trading platforms.

Trading platforms
  • attrax
  • bank zweiplus

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  • Investment company:Keynote (SICAV)
  • Investment Manager:Keynote Funds AG, Zurich
  • Management company:Universal-Investment-Luxembourg S.A.
  • Custodian:UBS Europe SE, Luxembourg Branch
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  • Distribution companies:Greiff capital management AG

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Performance

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